The Science of Not Estimating

Anemari Fiser, Javi Sánchez (29.Sep.2018 at 12:30, 55 min)
Talk at Software Crafters Barcelona 2018 (English - UK)

Rating: 4 of 5

Estimates: a specially tricky subject when it comes to Software Development. Estimates are one of the classic project management artifacts and yet they have remained in the backbone of many agile process implementations.
In the past years, different voices have questioned the very nature of estimates and the reason why we do them, as the #noestimates movement “explores alternatives to estimates [of time, effort, cost] for making decisions in software development”. To many, this is just another buzzword which replaces things like velocity or story points in Scrum or XP, but we can find its justification in statistical analysis and modelling. The new approach brings us more reliable tools to forecast and predict how much work we can do.
This talk will debunk some myths about estimates and will explore in depth the history and implications of #noestimates . We will discover the tools we can use to support this new approach: from a more reliable statistical modelling to Montecarlo forecasting.

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Comments

Rating: 4 of 5

01.Oct.2018 at 22:41 by Eduardo Ferro Aldama (11 comments) via Web2 LIVE

Fun delivery and with good rhythm. A good approach to explain other options to estimations.

Rating: 3 of 5

06.Oct.2018 at 20:41 by Tiago Ameller (7 comments) via Web2 LIVE

Dramatized approach was different, but not effective to catch the concept they were talking about. My concerns are more to estimate new projects than forecast running projects with some history to start.

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